Donald Trump: -110 (46% implied probability) Joe Biden: +120 (39.9%) Hillary Clinton: +2000 (4.2%) Andrew Cuomo: +3500 (2.4%) Jesse Ventura: +3500 (2.4%) Mike Pence: +5000 (1.7%) Michelle Obama: +5000 (1.7%) Bernie Sanders: +8000 (1.1%) Nikki Haley: +15000 (0.6%)
Odds as of Wednesday, May 13 and via European sportsbook Betfair. Note that the implied probabilities are vig-free, so they’re not accounting for the cut the sportsbook is taking. 0067不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 12:44:24.94ID:9P0bhAoM0 もしバイデンが大統領になれば、4年後の選挙もほぼ自動的にバイデンが民主党候補になる。
まぁコロナが秋までに終息して、経済がV字回復ってシナリオ通りの展開にでもならん限り、トランプが 勝つ事は有り得ないだろうｗ 0077不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 12:57:34.14ID:cWE9pAGm0 これからはアメリカに変わって中国が世界の覇権を握るかもしれませんね 今回のコロナ騒動で一番被害を受けたのはアメリカです。 死者数だけ見ても半端ない。それに加えてあの失業率。 それはそのままGDPに反映してくるでしょう 0078不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 12:57:54.91ID:yWAnZIIW0 前回の選挙の時だってトランプはテキサスを落とすなんて言われていたけど難なく勝利 0079不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 13:07:14.26ID:RpREPXuu0 コロナは奇跡のように消えてなくなるとか言ってたのを エグいネガキャンに利用されてるんじゃないのかな 0080不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 13:08:11.74ID:R9Vy07j/0 前回はキチガイかヒステリーババアを選ぶ選挙だったけど 今回はキチガイか普通のおじさん選ぶ選挙だからバイデン有利 0081不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 13:09:37.96ID:0pmIXyCb0>>1 そりゃ売電の陣営は嘘でもそう言うだろ。こんなの垂れ流してアホか、朝日は。 0082不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 13:14:05.10ID:pKw5Rmq20 トランプ発言 Jan. 22, Twitter: “One of the many great things about our just signed giant Trade Deal with China is that it will bring both the USA & China closer together in so many other ways. Terrific working with President Xi, a man who truly loves his country. Much more to come!”
Jan. 24, Twitter: “China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank President Xi!”
Jan. 29, Remarks at signing ceremony for the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement: “And, honestly, I think, as tough as this negotiation was, I think our relationship with China now might be the best it's been in a long, long time. And now it's reciprocal. Before, we were being ripped off badly. Now we have a reciprocal relationship, maybe even better than reciprocal for us.”
Jan. 30, Fox News interview: "China is not in great shape right now, unfortunately. But they're working very hard. We'll see what happens. But we're working very closely with China and other countries." 0083不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 13:18:32.24ID:OalQPeND0 それとトランプマンセーネトウヨって、「前回の選挙ではーーーーーーー！！！」ってバカの一つ覚えみたいにしか言わないけどさｗ
Feb. 7, Remarks before Marine One departure: "Late last night, I had a very good talk with President Xi, and we talked about ― mostly about the coronavirus. They're working really hard, and I think they are doing a very professional job. They're in touch with World ― the World ― World Organization. CDC also. We're working together. But World Health is working with them. CDC is working with them. I had a great conversation last night with President Xi. It's a tough situation. I think they're doing a very good job.”
“China seems to be making tremendous progress. Their numbers are way down. … I think our relationship with China is very good. We just did a big trade deal. We’re starting on another trade deal with China ― a very big one. And we’ve been working very closely. They’ve been talking to our people, we’ve been talking to their people, having to do with the virus.” 0112不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 16:49:16.68ID:ag8c/gZe0>>111 WHOや 0113不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 17:12:54.11ID:h2vUzCT70 スタートレックにそっくり トランプ氏が披露した宇宙軍の旗 https://www.sankei.com/world/news/200516/wor2005160004-n1.html0114不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 17:17:22.95ID:To23BpRp0>>53 それは公民権法制定前の1950年代までの話だな。それでも1994年のギングリッチ革命までは連邦議会選挙でも 民主党優位ではあったのが逆転し、2010年のティーパーティー旋風でこの流れがほぼ完成した。 今新たにテキサスやジョージアなどで勃興しつつある南部民主党の動きは都市部住民と有色人種によるもので、 社会保守的な土着白人層を基盤としたかつてのディキシークラットとはむしろ真逆。 0115不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 20:41:41.10ID:g/X0FbPO0 NHK調査でも トランプが再選するほうが日本にとって悪影響が多数だ もちろん実態を反映していない 自分の周りではトランプ頑張れしかいないし 世論調査ってよくわからんな 0116不要不急の名無しさん2020/05/16(土) 20:48:00.55ID:pKw5Rmq20>>115 それは自分の周りが自分の思想に近い人に偏っているのであろう
