https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/22/health/covid-variant-delta-gamma/index.html
What the Delta variant could mean for Covid-19 in the United States
By Michael Nedelman and Nadia Kounang, CNN
Updated 1632 GMT (0032 HKT) June 22, 2021


The most recent model finds that a Delta-like variant that's assumed to be 60% more transmissible than Alpha,
coupled with 75% of eligible Americans getting vaccinated, can result in Covid-19 bouncing back from summer lows
to cause more than 3,000 deaths per week at various points during the fall and winter --
coinciding with children returning to school and weather that pushes people back indoors.

That's about 1,000 more Covid-19 deaths than the US has seen over the past week,
though still far below the peak of 24,000 deaths during the second week of January.

But according to the model, getting 86% of eligible Americans vaccinated --
meaning, those 12 and up -- could avert more than 10,000 cumulative deaths by late November.


接種率高いアメリカでこの予想
日本は大丈夫なの？